Research project · Nairobi, Kenya

AI for verifying disaster alerts, not amplifying them.

FlowOps Africa is building an AI system to verify disaster alerts and reduce misleading information. This page describes a focused reliability experiment: a small prototype, structured evaluation, and practical safeguards for high-stakes AI outputs.

Lead

Ismael Kiprop, Founder & Lead AI Engineer

Organisation

FlowOps Africa · Nairobi, Kenya

Status

Controlled experiment · not a live warning service

Focus

AI reliability, evaluation, and deployment safeguards

The problem

Convincing AI outputs are not necessarily accurate

AI systems can generate fluent explanations and recommendations that look authoritative. In disaster response, unverified AI-generated information can cause confusion, undermine trust, or push people toward unsafe decisions.

This project investigates practical methods for evaluating AI reliability and reducing the chance that unsupported outputs are treated as verified information. The initial application is disaster information; the methods may also inform other high-stakes deployments.

Approach

Prototype first, evaluate carefully

The initial phase builds a small prototype and a structured evaluation process. The system will be tested against disaster-related scenarios chosen to surface ambiguity, conflict, and misleading cues.

Ambiguous disaster reports
Conflicting source information
Incomplete evidence
Potentially misleading images or descriptions

What we measure

Evaluation criteria

The project examines whether AI-generated alerts meet a clear bar for responsible communication under incomplete or contested information.

Evidence support

Whether an AI-generated alert is factually supported by the available reports and environmental context.

Uncertainty expression

Whether the system appropriately communicates confidence, incomplete evidence, and open questions.

Verified vs unconfirmed

Whether verified information is clearly distinguished from rumours, hearsay, or unconfirmed reports.

Severity and location claims

Whether the system avoids unsupported claims about where an incident is and how severe it is.

Safeguards under test

Reducing unsupported confidence

  • Evidence checks before an alert is treated as verified
  • Uncertainty labeling on incomplete or contested outputs
  • Source tracking for claims used in alert summaries
  • Human review for high-impact or high-risk alerts

Intended outputs

What this project will produce

Working proof of concept

A small prototype that interprets disaster-related reports with explicit reliability controls.

Evaluation dataset

A structured set of scenarios designed to probe failure modes, not only happy-path cases.

Documented test results

Recorded successes and failures so others can inspect how the system behaves under pressure.

Practical safeguards

Guidance for handling uncertain, conflicting, or potentially harmful AI outputs.

Why FlowOps

Practical AI engineering from Nairobi

FlowOps Africa builds software, AI integrations, APIs, and automation for African businesses. That engineering foundation supports a limited, testable reliability prototype rather than a premature production warning system.

The approach is deliberate: define measurable criteria, test against realistic scenarios, record failures, and improve safeguards from evidence.

Why now

AI-generated information is getting easier to believe

As AI outputs become more fluent and more widely available, the cost of treating unsupported claims as verified rises. Establishing ways to test reliability and communicate uncertainty before deploying AI in consequential settings is therefore timely.

Designed with African operating contexts relevant to disaster information: incomplete connectivity, multilingual reporting, and communities that need clear uncertainty signals.

Evidence of work

Links for reviewers

Use these links in grant applications, technical feedback, or follow-up conversations about the prototype and evaluation plan.

Canonical page URL: https://www.flowops.africa/projects/disaster-alert-verification